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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.70+3.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+3.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+4.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81+0.33vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.28+4.67vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-0.80vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16-0.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.75-3.12vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.52-0.31vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.16+2.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.36+0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.66-4.57vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-1.32vs Predicted
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16Bentley University1.03-4.69vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.32-2.23vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.20-13.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.67Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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6.2Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.88Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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14.42McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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11.31Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.77Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.54Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Welsh | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Martz | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Andries Feder | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 31.1% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 11.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| George Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 34.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 14.7% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.