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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+6.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+4.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.91vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-0.59vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75-0.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-1.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+0.21vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.28+1.33vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.66-1.76vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-2.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-7.48vs Predicted
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14Bentley University1.03-2.61vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.19-1.30vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.32-1.30vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.36-3.73vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.16-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.76Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.41Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.55Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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10.33Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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6.34Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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9.81Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.52Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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11.39Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.7University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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14.7Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.27Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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14.49McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Martz | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ben Brown | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| George Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.0% | 16.5% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 35.6% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Andries Feder | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.