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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+4.70vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.52+7.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.90vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+3.21vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.28+4.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.390.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.75-2.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.81-3.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.59-3.67vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-6.61vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.66-3.79vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.32+0.73vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-1.70vs Predicted
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16Bentley University1.03-4.74vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.16-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.19-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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10.33Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.66Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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14.73Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.3Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.26Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.47McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 23.2% | 35.3% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 13.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Andries Feder | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 28.1% |
| George Williams | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.