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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+6.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+3.25vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.52+6.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+1.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20-1.75vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.66+1.06vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39-2.39vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.36+2.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-3.09vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.59-5.78vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.03-2.09vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.73-8.35vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.16-1.13vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.32-1.92vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.28-6.73vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-4.34-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.47Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.25Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.91Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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13.87McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.08Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.27Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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16.96University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 18.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 23.0% | 15.3% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Abate | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 25.8% | 33.6% | 0.4% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 22.1% | 40.9% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 98.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.