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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+5.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99+5.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+2.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.73+1.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59+0.91vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.28+3.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-3.70vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43-2.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-2.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.66-2.01vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.03-0.98vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.52-3.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.36-1.27vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.70-9.22vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.32-1.96vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.16-3.11vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-4.34-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.68Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.38Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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4.3Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.47Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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11.02Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.4Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.73Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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14.04Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.89McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Andersen | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 23.7% | 38.5% | 1.3% |
| Andries Feder | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 26.2% | 32.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 97.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.