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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+5.54vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+4.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+2.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16+3.45vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.73+0.52vs Predicted
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7Bentley University1.03+4.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-3.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.59-3.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.66-0.80vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.28-0.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-3.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.70-7.31vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.32+0.03vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-2.19vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.52-6.52vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.16-3.15vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-4.34-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.5Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.11Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.33Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
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10.17Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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14.03Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.81Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.48Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.85McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 23.8% | 39.0% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 0.3% |
| Ben Brown | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 25.0% | 32.1% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 97.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.