← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.81+4.21vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.39+4.57vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.20+0.27vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.16+2.42vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College1.52+3.34vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.59-0.84vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.70-2.34vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.99-1.21vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.73-4.28vs Predicted
-
11Bentley University1.03-0.05vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.43-5.30vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-0.32+1.15vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.66-4.81vs Predicted
-
15Bates College1.28-4.62vs Predicted
-
16McGill University-0.16-2.26vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University0.36-4.22vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut-4.34-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.57Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
-
4.27Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
-
7.42Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
9.34Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.16Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
-
5.72Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.95Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
6.7Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
14.15Wesleyan University-0.320.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of Rhode Island1.660.0%1st Place
-
10.38Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
-
13.74McGill University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.78Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
-
16.96University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brown | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 9.7% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Abate | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Bushnell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 23.2% | 41.1% | 0.8% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Andries Feder | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 24.6% | 32.8% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 98.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.