← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.38+2.22vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.69+2.80vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+3.22vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.92+3.05vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.13+1.30vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.12+0.55vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.54-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.41-2.44vs Predicted
-
10McGill University0.82+0.24vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.89-4.01vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.09-0.01vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.08-3.59vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.82-3.81vs Predicted
-
15Bentley University-2.05+0.52vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.68vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.42-3.91vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University-2.70-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.22Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
-
4.8Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.05Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.3Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
6.55Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.29Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.56Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
10.24McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.99Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
-
11.99Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
9.41Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
-
15.52Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
14.32Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
13.09University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
-
16.25Salve Regina University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 25.5% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kann | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 38.5% | 29.6% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 32.2% | 23.7% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 24.0% | 21.1% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Megan Niederberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 9.4% | 23.2% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.