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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+4.13vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.41+2.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.92+3.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82+4.33vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.54-1.72vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.09+3.76vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.08+0.57vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.13-3.69vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-4.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.89-4.96vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.42-1.95vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.70vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-2.05-1.45vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-2.70-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.64Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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5.28Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.76Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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9.57Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.51Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.04Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.23McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.3Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.55Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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16.27Salve Regina University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 26.6% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kann | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 30.4% | 24.2% | 8.5% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 39.3% | 28.4% |
| Megan Niederberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 22.8% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.