← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+5.14vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.69+2.76vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.38+0.26vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.41+1.75vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.89+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.92+1.13vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.13-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.54-2.77vs Predicted
-
9McGill University0.82+1.24vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.12-3.66vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College1.08-1.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.82-1.92vs Predicted
-
14Bates College0.09-2.05vs Predicted
-
15University of Connecticut-0.42-1.95vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.66vs Predicted
-
17Bentley University-2.05-1.45vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University-2.70-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.76Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
3.26Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
-
5.75Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.96Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
-
7.13Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.43Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.23Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
-
10.24McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.34Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.51Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.95Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
-
14.34Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
15.55Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
16.28Salve Regina University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Chung | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 24.3% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kann | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 23.6% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 30.3% | 23.9% | 8.5% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 40.0% | 28.3% |
| Megan Niederberger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 9.7% | 21.8% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.