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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+2.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+3.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+2.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.92+1.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.54-0.56vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-1.34vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.82+1.98vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-2.46vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.89-3.00vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.82-1.80vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.09-1.07vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.42-0.99vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.20-0.60vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.08-6.54vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-2.70-0.75vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-2.05-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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4.8Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.66Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.98McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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11.93Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.4Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.46Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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16.25Salve Regina University-2.700.0%1st Place
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15.57Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 26.5% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kann | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Dsida | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 23.9% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 30.7% | 25.1% | 8.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Niederberger | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 23.1% | 61.0% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 37.9% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.