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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+1.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.92+4.04vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.41+1.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+1.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+0.55vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.54-1.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-1.86vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.08+0.52vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.89-3.01vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.82-0.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.82-2.89vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.20+0.40vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.42-1.88vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.09-4.08vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-2.05-1.36vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-2.33-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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9.52Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College1.890.0%1st Place
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10.18McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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14.4Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.92Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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15.64Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.98Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 26.2% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 11.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kann | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benton Croop | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 11.9% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 24.3% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Chris Dsida | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 34.4% | 35.3% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 25.3% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.