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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.24vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+3.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.92+3.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69-0.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.54-0.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.82+1.95vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.08+0.60vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-3.84vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.42+2.04vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.89-4.93vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-2.75vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.20+0.45vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.09-3.03vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-2.05-1.38vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-2.33-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.67Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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9.6Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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13.04University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.07Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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10.25McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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14.45Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.97Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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15.62Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.98Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 25.5% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 25.7% | 20.9% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Michael Kann | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 29.3% | 24.3% | 11.9% |
| Chris Dsida | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 33.6% | 35.4% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 26.8% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.