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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.89+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.54+3.19vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+1.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38-0.72vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+0.45vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+0.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.13-0.55vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.08+1.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-2.69vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.09+2.02vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.92-3.88vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.82-1.83vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.42-0.91vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.61vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-2.05-1.33vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-2.33-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.85Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.28Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.59Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.25Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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12.02Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.820.0%1st Place
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10.25McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Connecticut-0.420.0%1st Place
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14.39Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.67Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.96Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kann | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 26.1% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Henry Stames | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hawkins | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 28.6% | 24.3% | 11.2% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 33.1% | 36.7% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 27.0% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.