← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.38+2.13vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.12+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+5.05vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.69+0.84vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.54+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.41-0.38vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.13-0.64vs Predicted
-
8Bates College0.09+3.44vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.16-2.67vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College1.08-0.73vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.82-1.00vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.92-5.12vs Predicted
-
14Bentley University-2.05+0.95vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.13-5.74vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-1.20-2.19vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University-2.33-1.67vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut-3.44-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
-
6.26Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
-
4.84Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.07Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.62Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.36Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.44Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
-
9.27Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.0McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
-
6.88Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
-
14.95Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
9.26Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
-
13.81Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
15.33Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
-
16.4University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 27.8% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 26.3% | 20.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 31.5% | 30.4% | 13.4% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 34.3% | 25.1% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 37.7% | 17.9% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.