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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.54+2.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+0.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+2.89vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.12+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-0.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.92-1.20vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-4.37vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.08-1.74vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.82-2.00vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.09-1.35vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-4.80vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-2.05+0.01vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-2.15vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-2.33-1.68vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-3.44-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.18Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.82Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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6.8Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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5.63Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.26Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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10.0McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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11.65Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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15.01Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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13.85Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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15.32Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 27.9% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 29.0% | 20.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 14.3% | 31.4% | 31.5% | 12.6% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 10.2% | 33.0% | 26.9% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 12.3% | 26.2% | 34.7% | 19.3% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 20.0% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.