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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.41+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.16+3.27vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.54+1.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69-0.34vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+0.42vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.07vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.92-1.21vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.82+0.09vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-1.89vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.09-0.30vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.08-3.77vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.20-0.23vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.12-8.62vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-2.33-0.75vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-2.05-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-3.44-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.49Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.66Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University1.920.1%1st Place
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10.09McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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9.11Bowdoin College1.130.0%1st Place
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11.7Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
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9.23Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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13.77Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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15.25Salve Regina University-2.330.0%1st Place
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15.0Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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16.42University of Connecticut-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 27.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Collins | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stames | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Ulian | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Dsida | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 29.4% | 18.3% | 7.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maia Nelles-Sager | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 10.1% | 34.9% | 24.7% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrissey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 11.2% | 25.2% | 36.9% | 17.9% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 16.0% | 31.6% | 31.0% | 11.9% |
| Matthew McCann | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 19.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.