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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+2.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+0.72vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+2.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.13vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.31-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.8Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.72Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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6.65Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.58Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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7.38McGill University0.310.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 21.8% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Williams | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 22.4% | 25.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 11.6% |
| Malich Altman | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 45.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.