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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+1.21vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+2.37vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.79-0.51vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31-2.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-1.40vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.53Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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3.48Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 21.4% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 14.0% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 42.9% |
| Jessica Williams | 8.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 18.7% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 23.8% |
| Rachel Foster | 20.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.