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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+2.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+0.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+2.36vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-1.46vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.84vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.79-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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6.36Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.54Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 22.8% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 18.5% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 43.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 17.4% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 23.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 15.2% |
| Jessica Williams | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.