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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.30+1.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+2.51vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31-1.43vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-2.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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3.58Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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3.57Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 24.6% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 17.4% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 22.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 17.0% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Jessica Williams | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.