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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+2.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.72+4.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+0.55vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48-0.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.12vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-2.74vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.79-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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6.37Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.55Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.37Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 18.2% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Wright | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 42.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 18.7% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Julien Guiot | 20.8% | 22.5% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| Fiona McKellar | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 22.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Jessica Williams | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.