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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+2.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.79+1.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31-0.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+0.56vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.30-2.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.54Northeastern University2.310.2%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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3.52Brown University2.300.2%1st Place
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5.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 22.5% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Jessica Williams | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 17.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Fiona McKellar | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 18.3% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| Samuel Wright | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.