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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.33+2.83vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.59+3.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.76-0.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.62-1.03vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.51-1.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.70-3.10vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.53-0.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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3.7Boston University1.760.2%1st Place
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3.97Harvard University1.620.2%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.510.1%1st Place
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3.9Brown University1.700.2%1st Place
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7.79McGill University-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bresnick | 18.5% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Collin Benzoni | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 23.0% | 11.6% |
| Andrew Stoycos | 17.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| John Reyes | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Henry Sharpe | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| William Gleckner | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 56.5% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 29.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.