← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University1.62+2.87vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.33+2.56vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.76+0.66vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.79-0.32vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.70-1.20vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.51-1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.59-1.11vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.87Harvard University1.620.2%1st Place
-
4.56Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
-
3.66Boston University1.760.2%1st Place
-
3.68Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
-
3.8Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
-
4.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.510.1%1st Place
-
5.89University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
-
6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Andrew Stoycos | 18.6% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 16.3% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Henry Sharpe | 14.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| John Reyes | 14.3% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Collin Benzoni | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 23.2% | 29.2% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.