Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
William Crary 7.4% 6.3% 7.9% 8.3% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 8.1% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 5.9% 6.5% 4.2% 1.4%
Erik Weis 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 7.4% 4.6% 2.0%
Nick Digiovanni 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 6.0% 7.6% 5.4% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 10.1% 7.1% 4.4% 1.7%
Alexander Tong 10.3% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 7.3% 6.9% 7.3% 6.4% 6.1% 4.1% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Allyson Donahue 11.0% 10.9% 9.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.7% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 5.2% 4.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Kyle Brego 1.6% 2.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 4.7% 4.7% 7.5% 11.8% 24.8% 25.8%
Dana Rohde 13.2% 10.2% 10.9% 10.3% 8.7% 8.5% 9.1% 7.2% 5.5% 5.1% 4.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2%
William Hawk 7.1% 7.1% 7.9% 6.9% 5.8% 8.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.5% 7.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.4%
Conner Harding 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 10.3% 8.2% 9.0% 7.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.8% 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Jackson Hamilton 5.2% 3.9% 4.9% 5.0% 7.7% 5.1% 6.6% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 9.1% 9.7% 8.9% 7.7% 3.7%
Sean Beaulieu 3.1% 3.7% 3.2% 3.5% 5.9% 4.0% 6.2% 5.1% 7.2% 5.6% 7.2% 8.6% 12.9% 16.3% 7.5%
Robby Gearon 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 6.8% 8.8% 7.1% 8.2% 7.8% 7.9% 7.1% 7.3% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3%
Brendan Read 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 4.9% 6.4% 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.9% 8.1% 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 6.4% 2.2%
Markus Suorsa 0.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 8.2% 15.9% 50.7%
Nicolas Hernandez 9.1% 9.6% 7.7% 9.0% 7.9% 8.1% 6.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 5.9% 6.3% 4.0% 2.0% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.