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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+4.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+2.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+2.51vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+2.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.91vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-3.97vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-2.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-2.98vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-6.70vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.00-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.38Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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12.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.85McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Erik Weis | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 24.8% | 27.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.1% |
| William Hawk | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.