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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.91vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+5.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.90+3.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+1.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35-0.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.26-0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23-2.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-2.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-2.47vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-1.94vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.76vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-1.04vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.53Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.06Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.96McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Weis | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| William Hawk | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Read | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| William Crary | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.7% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 7.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 17.7% | 47.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 21.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.