Race 4A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Robby Gearon 8.5% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 6.8% 7.5% 7.6% 6.1% 7.6% 7.0% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8%
Dana Rohde 11.6% 12.7% 11.4% 10.0% 8.2% 9.7% 7.9% 7.3% 6.8% 4.7% 3.8% 3.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Nicolas Hernandez 9.3% 7.9% 8.7% 9.6% 6.7% 7.7% 8.4% 7.5% 8.4% 7.7% 7.2% 4.8% 3.2% 2.4% 0.5%
William Crary 6.5% 7.2% 6.0% 8.9% 7.7% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 6.4% 8.6% 7.2% 6.7% 4.1% 1.2%
Markus Suorsa 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 0.7% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.3% 5.6% 6.7% 17.3% 49.8%
Brendan Read 5.8% 5.1% 6.4% 5.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.5% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 7.8% 8.3% 9.2% 5.0% 1.1%
Nick Digiovanni 6.9% 5.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.4% 8.8% 6.8% 7.9% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 1.8%
Allyson Donahue 11.6% 10.6% 8.9% 9.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 7.9% 6.8% 7.4% 3.7% 4.0% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Kyle Brego 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 3.3% 5.2% 5.0% 6.8% 13.3% 22.4% 26.8%
Alexander Tong 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 9.1% 8.4% 7.3% 10.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.4% 5.3% 5.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
William Hawk 7.0% 8.1% 8.1% 6.3% 6.8% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 6.8% 7.4% 6.6% 7.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.8%
Conner Harding 8.5% 7.9% 9.6% 8.2% 8.4% 8.7% 8.0% 8.5% 7.3% 7.2% 5.7% 4.9% 3.7% 3.0% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 2.8% 3.6% 2.7% 4.6% 4.9% 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.7% 10.7% 13.5% 14.9% 9.0%
Jackson Hamilton 4.7% 4.8% 6.2% 5.5% 6.9% 6.4% 5.4% 7.2% 6.9% 7.7% 10.1% 8.1% 10.3% 7.1% 2.7%
Erik Weis 6.1% 7.2% 6.2% 4.8% 8.2% 5.2% 8.2% 6.2% 7.1% 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 7.3% 6.1% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.