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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.12vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+4.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+1.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.90+0.99vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.67vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-4.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.16vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.00+0.15vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-6.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.15McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
| William Crary | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Erik Weis | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Read | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 12.7% | 23.4% | 27.8% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 21.4% | 47.4% |
| William Hawk | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.