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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.90+3.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+1.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+2.54vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+0.95vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.09vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60-0.21vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.46vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-4.26vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21-2.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.98vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.95Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.02McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| William Crary | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Erik Weis | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| William Hawk | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 26.5% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.