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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.06vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+5.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.15vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+3.46vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.50vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+0.58vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92-1.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-4.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-4.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.89vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-3.95vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.04McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Erik Weis | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Read | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| William Hawk | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| William Crary | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 25.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 16.8% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.