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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicolas Hernandez 9.0% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 8.5% 9.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.4% 5.6% 4.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Nick Digiovanni 7.4% 7.6% 7.3% 6.8% 7.0% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.6% 9.0% 7.6% 4.4% 2.3%
Dana Rohde 13.5% 13.6% 11.2% 10.1% 8.9% 9.1% 7.9% 8.3% 6.4% 4.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Erik Weis 5.4% 7.0% 7.0% 5.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 7.9% 9.0% 6.7% 10.3% 7.0% 7.3% 2.3%
Robby Gearon 6.7% 8.0% 7.7% 9.2% 9.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.2% 6.7% 4.1% 1.4%
Brendan Read 6.9% 5.5% 6.0% 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 7.1% 8.0% 9.6% 7.2% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5%
Jackson Hamilton 6.2% 7.0% 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 7.4% 2.7%
William Hawk 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 7.0% 8.8% 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 6.4% 4.9% 1.5%
Allyson Donahue 11.6% 10.5% 12.0% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 9.0% 8.0% 5.7% 5.9% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Alexander Tong 9.8% 10.0% 10.1% 11.7% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.1% 8.3% 5.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8%
William Crary 8.6% 6.4% 6.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 7.1% 7.9% 8.5% 9.7% 6.7% 6.3% 5.3% 1.6%
Kyle Brego 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 7.5% 13.5% 24.1% 25.7%
Sean Beaulieu 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 5.1% 4.7% 4.4% 5.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.8% 10.2% 13.4% 13.2% 8.1%
Markus Suorsa 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 4.4% 6.7% 7.2% 16.8% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.