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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+4.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+2.72vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+2.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+1.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-0.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-2.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-3.99vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.00-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.99Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.04McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| William Crary | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Tong | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Erik Weis | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.