← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.90+5.45vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.26+3.45vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.13+2.83vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.21+4.58vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.75+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.92+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.35-1.93vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.76-1.15vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.75-2.02vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.25vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.97-4.96vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.01vs Predicted
-
13McGill University1.00-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.45University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.45Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
-
5.83Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.58Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.83Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.33Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.07Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.85University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.98Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
-
6.04Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
4.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
11.35McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 8.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| William Hawk | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Read | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Erik Weis | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 25.7% | 27.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.