Race 10A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexander Tong 10.6% 12.5% 10.4% 9.7% 9.4% 9.5% 10.2% 8.7% 6.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.5%
Dana Rohde 13.3% 13.8% 11.0% 12.1% 11.2% 9.0% 7.5% 7.7% 5.3% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Brendan Read 6.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.5% 8.3% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.9% 10.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.7%
Nicolas Hernandez 9.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.4% 8.2% 10.1% 10.6% 8.4% 7.6% 6.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7%
Allyson Donahue 13.1% 12.8% 12.0% 9.7% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 6.0% 4.4% 4.0% 1.0% 0.6%
Nick Digiovanni 7.8% 6.1% 7.7% 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 8.4% 9.4% 10.4% 8.7% 8.4% 7.2% 1.9%
Sean Beaulieu 5.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 7.7% 8.7% 11.0% 15.3% 14.5% 8.0%
Kyle Brego 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.6% 2.6% 2.2% 4.7% 5.5% 8.2% 11.4% 25.4% 27.4%
William Crary 8.3% 6.7% 7.9% 9.8% 8.0% 7.9% 9.9% 7.9% 9.6% 8.3% 7.9% 6.3% 1.5%
Robby Gearon 9.5% 8.0% 9.4% 8.7% 11.2% 8.0% 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 8.2% 7.6% 3.7% 1.8%
Erik Weis 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.7% 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 7.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.4%
Markus Suorsa 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 20.1% 50.7%
William Hawk 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 6.6% 7.9% 9.9% 9.5% 8.4% 8.8% 10.1% 8.1% 4.8% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.