Race 11A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dana Rohde 13.8% 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 11.1% 8.5% 8.6% 7.3% 6.7% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Allyson Donahue 12.9% 11.2% 11.5% 12.1% 10.1% 9.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 4.9% 3.3% 2.0% 0.1%
William Crary 6.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.2% 7.4% 8.4% 8.8% 10.3% 9.2% 10.1% 7.0% 4.8% 1.3%
Erik Weis 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 9.5% 7.6% 8.4% 7.8% 9.2% 10.0% 11.2% 6.2% 2.1%
Nicolas Hernandez 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.1% 9.6% 9.5% 8.1% 8.9% 8.4% 5.8% 6.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Brendan Read 7.3% 7.1% 6.9% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.0% 9.0% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 2.1%
Nick Digiovanni 8.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 9.0% 10.5% 8.4% 7.3% 2.0%
William Hawk 8.1% 8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 9.1% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 7.3% 7.5% 4.6% 1.4%
Alexander Tong 11.4% 10.8% 9.9% 11.7% 9.0% 10.7% 8.0% 7.1% 7.1% 6.1% 4.2% 3.6% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 4.8% 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 8.6% 11.7% 13.4% 15.1% 8.4%
Robby Gearon 8.8% 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 10.8% 8.5% 10.2% 8.8% 6.9% 7.1% 6.4% 3.9% 1.3%
Markus Suorsa 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4% 6.0% 8.1% 17.5% 51.4%
Kyle Brego 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 8.2% 12.4% 24.6% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.