Race 12A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Read 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 9.4% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 11.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.6%
William Crary 7.0% 8.8% 7.1% 8.6% 9.8% 8.4% 9.4% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 9.7% 4.7% 1.2%
Alexander Tong 10.8% 9.4% 13.0% 9.3% 10.0% 9.3% 10.6% 8.8% 6.8% 5.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Nicolas Hernandez 10.3% 9.6% 11.0% 10.1% 8.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Sean Beaulieu 5.4% 3.4% 3.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.1% 6.4% 7.1% 9.0% 11.0% 15.0% 13.7% 7.1%
Allyson Donahue 12.8% 12.0% 12.0% 11.0% 9.7% 10.3% 8.7% 7.2% 5.4% 5.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Dana Rohde 14.3% 13.6% 12.1% 11.5% 10.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0%
William Hawk 7.6% 9.5% 8.6% 7.2% 8.6% 9.3% 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.3% 6.6% 5.3% 1.3%
Nick Digiovanni 7.1% 6.4% 6.4% 8.1% 7.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 7.2% 3.2%
Markus Suorsa 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 3.6% 5.5% 7.2% 19.5% 49.5%
Erik Weis 6.9% 8.6% 7.1% 7.4% 7.6% 9.9% 9.0% 8.7% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 2.6%
Robby Gearon 8.2% 8.7% 9.8% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 7.9% 10.4% 8.5% 9.4% 6.4% 4.9% 1.7%
Kyle Brego 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.1% 5.7% 7.5% 12.5% 25.5% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.