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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+5.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+5.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+2.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+0.36vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.87+2.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19+1.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-1.70vs Predicted
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10McGill University1.80+0.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.91-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-5.18vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.36Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.56McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 17.4% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 27.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.