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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.25vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+3.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+4.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.28vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19+2.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87-1.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42+2.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.07vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-2.75vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.91-4.94vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.60vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.34vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.80-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.22Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.22Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.44McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 18.3% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 25.0% |
| Mack Fox | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 28.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.