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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+10.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+2.23vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+3.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.43vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+1.20vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.87-0.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70-1.57vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82-2.82vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.80-0.46vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-0.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.49-4.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.43Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.23Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.54McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 28.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 8.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 29.3% |
| James Kennedy | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.