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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+4.90vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.87+3.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+2.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+3.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70-0.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-1.91vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-4.55vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-2.69vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.80-1.27vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-1.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.42-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.73McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 18.3% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Mack Fox | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 29.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.