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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+4.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+7.09vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+1.34vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.42vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+5.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+0.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87-1.04vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-1.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70-2.41vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-6.56vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-3.54vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.80-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-4.80vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.59Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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4.44Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.65McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 26.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 17.5% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 17.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.