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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+2.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+4.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+2.63vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.15vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80-0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.19+0.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-2.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.78vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.80-1.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.42-1.24vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.37vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.21Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.75McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 17.6% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 11.9% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 27.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 27.0% |
| James Kennedy | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.