← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.72+3.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.70+5.13vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.82+3.94vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.91+2.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.19+4.00vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.17vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.87-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.80-1.02vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.35-3.71vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.49-1.89vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.05vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.75-4.87vs Predicted
-
13McGill University1.80-2.92vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.39-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.24Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
-
7.13University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.73Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.0University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.48Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
6.98Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
5.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.11Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
9.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.13Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.08McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.12Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 19.0% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% |
| Mack Fox | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| James Kennedy | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Julien Brunet | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 18.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.