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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+4.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+1.17vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+3.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.90vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+0.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-1.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.05vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.80-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.19-3.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.49-5.09vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.17Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.05Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.2McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 19.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Mack Fox | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% |
| James Kennedy | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.