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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+5.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+4.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+1.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+3.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.87+1.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.98vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+3.94vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70-0.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-1.86vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.80-3.91vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.80-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19-4.11vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.19Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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10.18McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.07Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 19.9% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 33.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Mack Fox | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| James Kennedy | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.