← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+8.72vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.53vs Predicted
-
3McGill University1.80+7.06vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+3.25vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.87+1.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.70+1.48vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.91-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.72-3.72vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.19+0.02vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.49-1.85vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.82-4.01vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.35-6.73vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.80-6.06vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.39-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
5.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.06McGill University1.800.0%1st Place
-
7.25Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.85Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.37Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
4.28Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
-
9.02University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
8.15Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.99Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.27Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.94Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
11.08Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| Mack Fox | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Julien Brunet | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Josh Dochoda | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 18.6% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| James Kennedy | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.