Race 1C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack McGraw 12.5% 12.1% 12.0% 10.5% 8.7% 10.7% 7.4% 6.3% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.8%
Peter Girard 3.4% 5.6% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 11.3% 11.9% 8.6% 10.2%
Alexander Bowen 5.0% 5.9% 4.8% 6.8% 6.6% 5.4% 6.9% 7.3% 8.5% 10.1% 8.6% 9.4% 8.7% 6.0%
Michael Sabourin 4.0% 5.3% 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 8.1% 9.9% 6.4%
Chester Jacobs 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 7.6% 9.7% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 6.8% 6.6% 7.6% 3.8% 2.2%
Dylan Farrell 6.8% 5.0% 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 3.3%
Peter Lynn 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.6% 8.9% 4.1% 6.0% 4.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Ed Lebens 4.8% 5.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 9.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 10.8%
Matteo Alampi 3.8% 2.9% 2.5% 4.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.3% 6.5% 9.4% 6.9% 11.6% 10.2% 14.5% 17.1%
Malcolm Lamphere 14.3% 14.7% 14.6% 11.7% 8.5% 9.8% 8.6% 5.4% 5.1% 4.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4%
Jackson McCoy 14.8% 12.3% 11.2% 11.0% 11.3% 8.9% 8.4% 6.4% 5.6% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Paul Didham 6.7% 6.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 9.2% 7.3% 8.8% 6.1% 5.5% 5.0% 2.9%
Bayard Lalor 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 2.1% 3.2% 2.8% 3.3% 6.1% 5.2% 5.6% 7.9% 11.5% 14.8% 30.0%
Charles Hicks 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.7% 7.3% 8.7% 11.0% 11.1% 12.4% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.