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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.96+4.33vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.52+4.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+4.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.89+2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-1.65vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-3.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10-0.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.47-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.80-3.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-3.26vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.61-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.250.2%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.470.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGraw | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Chester Jacobs | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Ed Lebens | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Alexander Bowen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Paul Didham | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Charles Hicks | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 30.4% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.