Race 3C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack McGraw 10.9% 12.7% 12.9% 11.4% 9.3% 8.7% 7.7% 6.1% 6.9% 3.5% 4.5% 3.0% 1.9% 0.5%
Paul Didham 8.1% 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 7.3% 8.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 4.9% 4.0% 2.0%
Peter Girard 4.5% 3.3% 4.6% 4.8% 5.8% 5.1% 5.7% 5.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.1% 11.6% 13.7% 10.3%
Jackson McCoy 13.3% 14.2% 11.9% 12.0% 9.1% 11.3% 7.2% 4.9% 6.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Chester Jacobs 6.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.2% 10.0% 8.5% 7.6% 9.0% 8.6% 7.2% 7.5% 6.6% 3.6% 2.7%
Matteo Alampi 3.1% 3.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 5.1% 6.6% 6.4% 8.3% 10.3% 11.1% 13.1% 18.4%
Michael Sabourin 4.9% 7.1% 6.1% 5.2% 7.5% 5.6% 8.2% 9.2% 7.1% 9.5% 8.4% 8.2% 7.6% 5.4%
Dylan Farrell 7.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.5% 6.6% 8.1% 6.9% 7.6% 9.0% 6.9% 8.3% 7.0% 6.6% 2.8%
Malcolm Lamphere 14.6% 14.4% 12.6% 11.4% 10.5% 10.3% 8.3% 6.7% 4.4% 3.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Bayard Lalor 2.4% 1.4% 2.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 4.4% 6.0% 5.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.8% 16.7% 30.6%
Peter Lynn 12.4% 8.6% 10.9% 10.0% 10.2% 8.1% 9.7% 8.3% 6.6% 4.5% 4.6% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7%
Charles Hicks 3.6% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 8.2% 6.6% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 10.9% 12.5%
Alexander Bowen 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 4.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 9.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 5.1%
Ed Lebens 3.7% 4.7% 3.5% 5.8% 6.2% 5.2% 6.4% 6.9% 8.1% 9.8% 8.8% 12.2% 10.1% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.